PoliticsVol $2.1M
Will the US and Iran sign a permanent peace deal by Dec 31, 2026?Yes
79%
No
21%
What this market means
Resolves YES if the current government of the Islamic Republic of Iran is officially dissolved, overthrown, or replaced by a fundamentally different governing authority before June 30, 2026.
Yes % — last 30 days
Mock dataRelated markets
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Will Trump lift the Hormuz blockade by June 30, 2026?Yes
68%
No
32%
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Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes
5%
No
95%