PoliticsVol $1.4M
Will Trump lift the Hormuz blockade by June 30, 2026?Yes
68%
No
32%
Will the US and Iran sign a permanent peace deal by Dec 31, 2026?
Yes
79%
No
21%
What this market means
Resolves YES if the United States and Iran sign a permanent, publicly acknowledged peace treaty or equivalent binding diplomatic agreement before 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
Yes % — last 30 days
Mock dataRelated markets
PoliticsVol $890K
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2026?Yes
1%
No
99%
PoliticsVol $3.2M
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes
5%
No
95%