PoliticsVol $2.1M
Will the US and Iran sign a permanent peace deal by Dec 31, 2026?Yes
79%
No
21%
What this market means
Resolves YES if Reza Pahlavi assumes a recognized leadership role in Iran (monarch, president, or de facto head of state) at any point during 2026.
Yes % — last 30 days
Mock dataRelated markets
PoliticsVol $1.4M
Will Trump lift the Hormuz blockade by June 30, 2026?Yes
68%
No
32%
PoliticsVol $890K
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2026?Yes
1%
No
99%